2009年4月8日

Did a Seismologist Accurately Forecast the L'Aquila Earthquake--Or Was It a Lucky Guess?

Really?

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Did a Seismologist Accurately Forecast the L'Aquila Earthquake--Or Was It a Lucky Guess?

Yesterday, a magnitude 6.3 earthquake struck L'Aquila, Italy, killing more than 150 people, injuring some 1,000, and leaving thousands of people homeless. Soon after the deadly temblor hit, news outlets including Time magazine, Reuters, and The New York Times reported Italian authorities had previously removed from the Internet a warning that a big quake was imminent. The prediction had been posted weeks earlier by a seismologist at the Gran Sasso National Laboratory in Abruzzi, Italy. [More]



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